I
will begin by answering the question: There is no way we can know. Artificial
intelligence (AI) is neither good nor evil. It is an advanced computer method
for analyzing streams of data and looking for patterns, then using those
patterns to fill in gaps in our knowledge. Computers have been doing this for
decades, and humans have been doing it for centuries with pen and paper and
abacus. The difference is that we are surrendering our decision-making
prerogatives to AI.
It
would be very useful to have, if we do not already, an AI program to detect
unusual patterns in our cells that may signal the onset of cancer, far earlier
than a human observer could detect it. Then the program could alert a doctor,
who would talk with the patient. This could save a life. But AI programs do
more than this. They decide if the patient will, in fact, get cancer. They then
alert insurance companies, which will then deny insurance coverage even if the
cancer is a decade or more in the future. Insurance companies do not like to
cover “pre-existing conditions” (in France, they have no choice), but what
about future conditions? Too bad, buddy.
It
is also useful to have AI programs that can detect possible clusters of
terrorists or criminals. Law enforcement or military personnel could then take
precautions. But what if a “terrorist cell” turns out to be a wedding in Gaza?
Too bad, buddy. You get bombed. I wonder how many billions of dollars have been
spent bombing what a human observer could easily have seen was the wrong place.
We end up killing thousands of innocent people and creating enemies around the
world.
Or
an AI program identifies you as a criminal, and you get arrested. Eventually,
you might be exonerated, but probably not for a long time, since, law
enforcement assumes, computers are never wrong.
An
AI program might identify the ideal investment for you to make with your huge
stockpile of money. It could go ahead and invest it for you, since the
opportunity might be lost otherwise.
In
all of these cases, the human prerogative of making the decision was
surrendered to the AI program itself.
An
AI program can be racist, for example, if it is designed to be, or even allowed
to be. Or it can use any metric of human appearance as a basis for
discrimination. AI is designed to not let you know the basis of its decisions,
because that basis will be a mathematical algorithm that would seem like
gibberish to almost everyone. Facial recognition programs, for example, have a
higher rate of misidentification among people of color than among whites. This is a
problem that can be corrected, if someone wants to. You can bet that if Nazis
had had AI, they would have built racism into it.
There
is a fundamental delusion here, as explained by Yuval Noah Harari in his book Nexus:
A Brief History of Information Networks from the Stone Age to AI. That
delusion is: The more information you have, the closer you will come to
understanding the truth. The problem is that much or most of the information
that you have is going to be wrong, leading you in a random direction or even
the wrong one. AI analyzes the information, and leads you, at best, in a random
direction.
Harari’s
books, this one and Sapiens and Homo Deus, are widely recognized
as being the wisest and deepest books on human history. If you only read three
books about human history, it should be his three books.
We
all have our own AI horror stories. Mine is, fortunately, more funny than
tragic. I publish books online through Kindle. One day, without warning, Kindle
Publishing blocked one of my uploaded books. An AI program made the decision, a
decision that was never explained to me. I tried solving the problem, and my
account reappeared and disappeared over and over. Finally a human being (an
underpaid staffer in India) got involved and reinstated my account and all my
books. I never did find out what the problem was. Only the AI software knows.
Maybe it scanned the cover image of my grandfather and decided that it was, in
fact, a photo of Kim Kardashian. Is there a close resemblance? You be the judge.
Never
heard of Yuval Noah Harari? His own book will explain why. The human brain is
not designed by evolution to pay much attention to reams of data, no matter how
important they may be. It is also not designed to pay much attention to big,
overarching ideas, which is what Harari writes about. The human brain, evolving
over millions of years in tribes, cares almost only about specific stories. We
are good at remembering even complex story lines so long as they do not have
too many complex ideas or too many characters. At most, the average person can
remember just a part of the history of his or her own family or country. That
is certainly the case with me; I know a lot about Cherokee history, especially
my own family, but other aspects of history? Not so much.
If
you have a racist AI program that picks out books for you to read, perhaps it
would identify Yuval Noah Harari as African and that, therefore, he is biased
or even stupid. Actually, he is Israeli.
But by the time you have figured this out, you have already passed up reading
his books.